Thanksgiving 2025 is set to serve up more than just turkey—it’s bringing a split-screen weather event across the United States. The Old Farmer’s Almanac forecasts a patchwork of conditions, with chilly, snowy scenes in the North and West and sunny, mild temperatures across the South. For the nearly 55 million Americans expected to travel between November 23 and 30, these regional differences could impact everything from airport delays to backyard dinners. Whether you’re planning a cozy indoor meal or a festive outdoor gathering, the weather may have a big say in how your holiday unfolds.
Old Farmer’s Almanac Predicts a Frosty West, Mild South for Thanksgiving 2025
- A stark North-South weather divide
- Cold and wet in the Northeast, Midwest, and Rockies
- Sunny and mild in the South and Southwest
- Travel conditions vary significantly by region
- Mountain snow may affect major roadways and airports
“We’re seeing a classic late-autumn weather map, with sharp contrasts that reflect the nation’s vast geography,” says meteorologist Alex Burnham. “It’s a ‘choose-your-own-climate’ Thanksgiving.”
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Regional Weather Overview
| Region | Expected Conditions (Nov 23–30, 2025) | Travel Outlook |
|---|---|---|
| Northeast | Cold, windy, snow in higher elevations | Moderate – possible flight delays |
| Midwest | Cool, isolated flurries and rain | Mixed – slick roads possible |
| West & Rockies | Wet and cold, mountain snow likely | Caution – slower road travel |
| South & Southeast | Mild, sunny, dry | Excellent – ideal for travel |
| Southwest | Warm days, cool nights, sunny | Excellent – optimal for road trips |
Who Will See Winter? The Frosty North & West
Northern states can expect traditional Thanksgiving vibes: chilly temps, possible flurries, and wind chills.
- Northeast: Cities like Boston and Buffalo could see highs in the 30s-40s°F with gusty winds and scattered snow in higher areas like the Adirondacks.
- Midwest: Chicago and Minneapolis will feel the chill, with variable skies and a chance of slick roads due to light snow and freezing rain.
- Rockies: Denver and Salt Lake City could see mountain snow midweek, complicating road travel in ski regions and passes.
“Bundle up if you’re heading to a parade or tailgate in the North,” advises climate analyst Karen Soto. “The windchill will be biting, especially in the early mornings.”
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Where It Feels Like Spring: The Warm South & Southwest
From Arizona to Florida, Thanksgiving 2025 will feel more like Easter Sunday than a late-autumn holiday.
| Subregion | Temperature Range | Conditions | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southern California/Arizona | 65–75°F days, 45°F nights | Sunny and dry | Ideal for road trips and outdoor dining |
| New Mexico | 60–70°F days, 40°F nights | Clear, breezy | Light jackets recommended |
| West Texas | 65°F days, 50°F nights | Mostly sunny | Great conditions for travel |
| Southern Nevada | 60–70°F days | Calm and clear | Ideal for family events outdoors |
The Southeast will also enjoy above-average temperatures. Cities like Atlanta, Miami, and Charleston are expected to be sunny and dry, perfect for Thanksgiving parades and outdoor barbecues.
“If you’re cooking outdoors or hosting a patio dinner in the South, you’re in luck,” says travel expert Leo Daniels. “This might be one of the best years weather-wise in the region.”
Flight & Road Travel: What You Need to Know?
With 55 million Americans traveling, weather will play a critical role:
- Fly early if heading North: Major hubs like Chicago O’Hare, Boston Logan, and Seattle-Tacoma may face delays due to wind or snow.
- Watch mountain passes: Snowfall in the Rockies and Sierra Nevada could cause delays on I-70, I-80, and I-90.
- Southern interstates are your friend: I-10, I-20, and I-40 should offer smooth sailing from Florida to California.
Will It Snow on Thanksgiving Day?
Yes—but mostly in limited areas. Light snow is forecasted in:
- Northern New England
- Upper Midwest
- Rockies and mountain towns
These flurries should be light, scenic, and non-disruptive for most.
The Almanac’s Long-Range Wisdom
The Old Farmer’s Almanac uses a blend of historical patterns, solar activity, and climatological data to create its long-range forecasts.
- Founded in 1792
- Claims 80% accuracy
- Supported this year by NOAA’s forecast of weak El Niño conditions, bringing warm/dry weather to the South and cool/wet patterns to the North
Why It Matters?
This diverse weather map has real implications for how Americans will gather, travel, and celebrate:
- Northern states will need to prep for indoor gatherings and potential delays.
- Southern regions can plan picnics, hikes, and backyard feasts.
- Travelers crossing climate zones should prepare for dramatic temperature swings and pack accordingly.
“You could be scraping frost off your windshield in Chicago and enjoying 70-degree sunshine by dinner in Dallas,” quips weather historian Julie LeGrand. “It’s the quintessential American holiday experience.”
FAQs
Is outdoor dining possible in November?
Yes—in southern states like Florida, Arizona, and Texas.
Which regions are most affected by travel delays?
The Northeast, Midwest, and mountain areas due to snow and wind.
How accurate is the Old Farmer’s Almanac forecast?
Historically, about 80% accurate; best used as a general guide.
Should I book an early flight for Thanksgiving travel?
Yes—especially if flying into northern airports, where storms could cause delays.
Is Thanksgiving 2025 a good time for a road trip?
Yes—especially in the South and Southwest, where conditions will be ideal.
Will it snow on Thanksgiving in New York?
Possibly light flurries in higher elevations; city areas likely dry but cold.